The short answer
- Will it reach my bill? Only if your distribution network takes part.
The draft determination says the costs are recovered from
electricity consumers within participating DNSP areas
, and which networks take part is decided by a federal tender that has not yet run. - How much? The Commission says it cannot be precise, because the cost
depends heavily on the spread of DNSPs that are successful
. Its guide isaround a $1.00 increase in annual bills for five years for a typical customer
. That is about $5 in total (our arithmetic). - Is it decided? No. This is a draft. Submissions close on 5 November
2026, and the AEMC's media release says a final determination is
due by the end of 2026
. - When would chargers appear? The program is
expected to commence in early 2027 and conclude in mid-2029
.
What the program would build
The program is the Commonwealth's, designed and run by the Department of Climate Change,
Energy, the Environment and Water. The AEMC's information sheet says it will place
an estimated 14,000 chargers
in locations the Commonwealth has identified as most
needed, by 2029. It has three parts, and they carry very different costs for a household that
pays network charges.
- Regional blackspots. Networks bid to install fast (DC) chargers where private investment is unlikely, then appoint an operator to run them.
- Kerbside, taken up by a private operator. In denser areas, networks propose sites and charge point operators get first right of refusal. An operator that takes a site pays to install, run and maintain its own charger.
- Kerbside, last resort. Any site no operator wants, the network must fill with a slower AC charger and maintain it.
"Metropolitan" is wider than it sounds. A footnote in the draft determination says it may
include places otherwise considered regional, such as Newcastle and Launceston
.
Who pays, and the cap the Commission added
The program's funding split, as the draft determination describes it, is that the network's
costs are met by the Commonwealth, which would fund approximately 30 per cent of the
costs
through grants, and by electricity consumers in the networks where chargers go in,
who would fund approximately 70 per cent of the costs through distribution use of system
charges
. That is the network part of your bill.
The draft rule makes this possible by classifying the program work as standard control
services. In the Commission's words, that classification allows for cost recovery from
electricity consumers
, and it says there is no viable alternative
for this program
because the last-resort and regional sites are likely to be uneconomic and the Commonwealth
funds only 30 per cent.
Where a private operator takes a kerbside site, the picture is different. The only cost
left with electricity consumers is site identification, and the Commission says that once the
Commonwealth's contribution is counted, electricity consumers do not bear any costs
for that part.
For the total, the Commission points to the department's own modelling, which estimated the
cost to electricity consumers across all participating networks at around $97.2 million
,
made up of $85.4 million capital and $11.8 million operating spending.
The most useful change for households is one the department did not ask for. Its request
did not provide for any cap
. The draft rule adds one, by tying what networks may recover
to a fixed version of the program guidelines, including the Commonwealth grant amount and the
share of each cost type that can be passed through. The Commission's reason is the risk that
without a cap the amount recovered from consumers could be significantly higher
, for
example if the Commonwealth increased the funding level or recovered a greater share of costs
from consumers.
The number we asked for in August, for this program
In August we wrote about a separate proposal, from Energy Networks Australia, to let
networks run kerbside charging as a regulated service generally, and argued that the
case for making every customer pay rested
on an emissions benefit nobody had quantified. That proposal is still being considered in the
Commission's network regulation
review, and the draft determination says this decision should not be interpreted as
indicating a preference
for a regulated or market-led approach in future.
For this narrower program, though, the Commission has produced a number. It calculated how many extra EVs each site would need to bring onto the road over the life of the charger for the value of the emissions saved to outweigh the cost to electricity consumers:
Breakeven: extra EVs needed per site
- Network fast chargers in regional blackspots: 21 to 46 extra EVs over
the 10 year life of the charger. The Commission considers this
likely to be met
. - Private operator kerbside sites: zero, because consumers bear no net cost.
- Network last-resort kerbside AC chargers: 1.5 to 3.8 extra EVs. Here
the Commission says
We have not been able to conclude whether the breakeven point will be met
.
Its doubts about the last-resort chargers are specific. Many of those sites are unlikely to
have dedicated parking, the program limits networks to AC charging, and its literature review
found limited reliable evidence
of extra EV uptake from AC kerbside charging without
dedicated bays. It supports proceeding anyway because, on balance, it considers the likely net
benefits of the regional and private operator parts carry the program.
The objection on the record
A range of submitters opposed recovering costs from people who may not use the chargers.
AGL, a retailer, put it most directly, arguing the approach would require all electricity
consumers, including renters, low-income households, households that do not own cars and
households that cannot afford EVs, to fund infrastructure that primarily benefits a narrower
group of transport users
. The Commission's answer is that the program is small,
time-limited and part-funded by the Commonwealth, and that it is aimed at people who currently
find EV ownership hardest: regional drivers and residents of apartments and other
higher-density housing.
It also names a regional wrinkle. Customers on networks deploying regional blackspot
chargers will be paying for this infrastructure, even though many users may be from other
DNSP areas.
Our read
This is opinion, built on the documents above. At around a dollar a year the money is small, and the Commission has done what we said was missing in August: put a breakeven number on the emissions case. The cap is the part that matters most for households. A rule that let the program's funding share be changed later would have been a blank cheque drawn on network charges, and the department's own request did not close it.
The weak leg is the one the Commission itself flags. Last-resort AC chargers on streets without dedicated parking are the part of this program most likely to be paid for by people who never use them, and the Commission could not say whether they will bring enough extra EVs onto the road to justify that. If you rent an apartment and want a charger on your street, or pay network charges and doubt the case, that is the question worth putting in a submission. The Commission welcomes feedback on every element of the draft, and says it particularly wants views on the evidence behind its breakeven analysis and on whether enough networks will compete for the work.
How to have a say
Written submissions are due by 5 November 2026 through the "lodge a submission" function on the AEMC website, quoting project reference ERC0436. The AEMC publishes submissions, subject to confidentiality.